Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.232342 0.268761 0.308976 0.356674 0.411707 0.473220 0.547214
2025-10-12 0.178389 0.228124 0.288680 0.367831 0.468593 0.592658 0.757175
2025-10-19 0.148910 0.204133 0.276074 0.376648 0.513701 0.694116 0.950039
2025-10-26 0.127133 0.184469 0.263408 0.380003 0.547970 0.781482 1.131467
2025-11-02 0.108714 0.165718 0.248051 0.375602 0.568425 0.849473 1.291288
2025-11-09 0.092344 0.147126 0.229722 0.363269 0.574063 0.894591 1.420464
2025-11-16 0.083846 0.139084 0.225692 0.371294 0.610340 0.988123 1.632540
2025-11-23 0.075584 0.130155 0.218880 0.373530 0.636860 1.068160 1.830884
2025-11-30 0.069292 0.123565 0.214851 0.379431 0.669386 1.160409 2.058513
2025-12-07 0.061660 0.113652 0.203948 0.372029 0.677840 1.212300 2.221478
2025-12-14 0.055547 0.105646 0.195343 0.367446 0.690288 1.271636 2.402999
2025-12-21 0.051509 0.100939 0.192037 0.371948 0.719395 1.363107 2.652367
2025-12-28 0.049641 0.100218 0.196159 0.391161 0.778820 1.517668 3.040438
2026-01-04 0.047054 0.097795 0.196793 0.403733 0.826903 1.656011 3.413152
2026-01-11 0.044391 0.094875 0.196074 0.413402 0.870053 1.788832 3.788975
2026-01-18 0.041378 0.090857 0.192667 0.417083 0.901163 1.900416 4.132846
2026-01-25 0.037879 0.085380 0.185628 0.412255 0.913685 1.974775 4.405608
2026-02-01 0.034004 0.078621 0.175129 0.398722 0.905804 2.005040 4.585398
2026-02-08 0.032343 0.076639 0.174756 0.407527 0.948153 2.147683 5.030483
2026-02-15 0.030336 0.073624 0.171751 0.409980 0.976268 2.261506 5.421820
2026-02-22 0.028788 0.071510 0.170553 0.416456 1.014296 2.401292 5.888472
2026-03-01 0.026406 0.067104 0.163553 0.408334 1.016718 2.458886 6.164582
2026-03-08 0.024438 0.063498 0.158076 0.403305 1.026063 2.533621 6.490474